مدل تصمیم‌گیری چندهدفه با رویکرد برنامه‌ریزی آرمانی و تحلیل سلسله‌مراتبی فازی در خصوص انتخاب پروژه‌های سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش معدن

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 استادیار مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده مهندسی، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران

2 دانشجوی دکتری مهندسی معدن، دانشکده مهندسی، دانشگاه کاشان، کاشان، ایران

3 دانشجوی دکتری مهندسی معدن، دانشکده مهندسی، دانشگاه باهنر، کرمان، ایران

چکیده

سرمایه‌گذاری در پروژه‌های معدنی با توجه به محدودیت سرمایه و نیاز به سرمایه‌گذاری اولیه زیاد یکی از مهم‌ترین تصمیماتی است که بایستی توسط مدیران بخش معدن اخذ شود. پارامترهای مختلفی که در بعضی موارد در تضاد با یکدیگر هستند بر روی این تصمیم‌گیری تاثیرگذار است. در این تحقیق با در نظر گرفتن چهار معیار سرمایه‌گذاری اولیه، هزینه تولید، سود و نیروی انسانی بعنوان مهم‌ترین معیارهای تصمیم‌گیری مؤثر بر روی موضوع سرمایه‌گذاری در بخش معدن، انتخاب سرمایه‌گذاری این بخش از میان هشت معدن مدلسازی شده است. بدین منظور از روش برنامه‌ریزی آرمانی به عنوان کارآمدترین تکنیک برنامه‌ریزی چند‌معیاره و چندهدفه استفاده شده است. با توجه به مبهم بودن میزان تأثیر پارامترهای مورد استفاده در این فرایند تصمیم‌گیری و اختلاف نظر افراد مختلف در این زمینه، در این تحقیق از روش تحلیل سلسله‌مراتبی فازی به منظور وزن‌دهی به معیارها استفاده شده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

A Multi-Objective Decision Making Model Based on Goal Programming and Fuzzy AHP Approach for Selecting Investment Projects in Mining Sector

نویسندگان [English]

  • Hadi Mokhtari 1
  • Abbas Eftekhari 2
  • Mohammad Javadi 3
1 Assistant Prof., Faculty of Engineering, University of Kashan, Kashan, Iran
2 Ph.D. Student in Mining Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Kashan, Kashan, Iran
3 Ph.D. Student in Mining Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Shahid Bahonar University, Kerman, Iran
چکیده [English]

In mining projects, due to capital constraints and need for high initial investment, prioritizing the investments is one of the most important decisions that should be taken by the managers. Various parameters have effect on this decision which some of them are in conflict with each other. In this study, four parameters have been taken into account as the most important criteria on investment in mining namely initial investment, production cost, profit and staffing . Then, prioritization of investments among the eight mining projects has been modeled. For this purpose, the goal programming method as an efficient multi criteria and objective technique has been used. Owing to  the uncertainty in effect of the parameters and for considering the variety of different decision makers, fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process is used to weighting the criteria.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Mining Engineering
  • Investment
  • Decision Making
  • Goal Programming
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Dhahri I, Chabchoub H., (2007). Nonlinear goal programming models quantifying the bullwhip effect in supply chain based on ARIMA parameters, Eur J Oper Res 117(3):1800–1810.

Espinoza, R. D., Rojo, J., (2017). Towards sustainable mining (Part I): Valuing investment opportunities in the mining sector, Resources Policy, 52, 7–18.

He, Yong, Gao, S., Liao, N., Liu, H. (2016). A nonlinear goal-programming-based DE and ANN approach to grade optimization in iron mining. Neural Computing and Applications, 27.7, 2065-2081.

Jime´nez M, Arenas M, Bilbao A, Rodrı´guez Urı´a MV, (2005). Approximate resolution of an imprecise goal programming model with nonlinear membership functions. Fuzzy Sets Syst 150 (1):129–145.

Joaquín Jar, J., (2017). Determinants of country competitiveness in attracting mining investments: An empirical analysis, Resources Policy, 52, 65–71.

King, B., Goycoole, M.  A. Newman, (2017). Optimizing the open pit-to-underground mining transition, European Journal of Operational Research, 257, 297–309.

Lee Peluso, N., (2017) Entangled Territories in Small-Scale Gold Mining Frontiers: Labor Practices, Property, and Secrets in Indonesian Gold Country, World Development, Available online 28 February.

Liang-Hsuan Chen, Wen-Chang Ko, Feng-Ting Yeh, (2017). Approach based on fuzzy goal programming and quality function deployment for new product planning, European Journal of Operational Research, 259, Issue 2, 1, 654–663.

Ouo, Y., (2017). Economic sustainability of the gold mining industry in Burkina Faso, Resources Policy, 51, 194–203.

Ransikarbum, K., and Mason, S.J. (2016) Goal programming-based post-disaster decision making for integrated relief distribution and early-stage network restoration, International Journal of Production Economics, 182, 324–341.

Shabanpour, H., Yousefi, S., and Farzipoor Saen, R. (2017). Future planning for benchmarking and ranking sustainable suppliers using goal programming and robust double frontiers DEA, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 50, 129–143.

Suárez Sánchez, A., Krzemień, A., Riesgo Fernández, P., Iglesias Rodríguez, F.J., Sánchez Lasherasc, F., Javier de Cos Juez, F., (2015). Investment in new tungsten mining projects, Resources Policy, 46, 177–190.

Trivedi, A., and Singh, A., (2017). A hybrid multi-objective decision model for emergency shelter location-relocation projects using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and goal programming approach, International Journal of Project Management, In Press.

Yu, S., Gao, S., Sun, H., (2016). A dynamic programming model for environmental investment decision-making in coal mining, Applied Energy, 166, 15, 273–281.

Rabbabi, M., Heidari S., and Gharebagh, H., (2011). Presenting a Comprehensive Goal Programming Model for Production with Fuzzy Approach in Oil Refinery Industry, Management Journal, 18, 12-21, (In Persian).

Momeni, M., (2009). Novel Affairs in Operations Research, Management Faculty of University of Tehran Pub, (In Persian).

Salehi Sedghiani, J., et al., (2010). Presenting a Linear Goal programming Model for Common Weights Calculation in Data Envelopment Analysis Problems, Industrial Management Journal, 2, 28-32, (In Persian). 

Ataei, M., (2011a). Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Shahrood University of Technology Pub, (In Persian).

 

Ataei, M., (2011b). Fuzzy Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Shahrood University of Technology Pub, (In Persian).

Charnes, A. Cooper, W. Ferguson, R., (1955). Optimal estimation of executive compensation by linear programming, Management Science, 1, PP. 138-151.

Dhahri I, Chabchoub H., (2007). Nonlinear goal programming models quantifying the bullwhip effect in supply chain based on ARIMA parameters, Eur J Oper Res 117(3):1800–1810.

Espinoza, R. D., Rojo, J., (2017). Towards sustainable mining (Part I): Valuing investment opportunities in the mining sector, Resources Policy, 52, 7–18.

He, Yong, Gao, S., Liao, N., Liu, H. (2016). A nonlinear goal-programming-based DE and ANN approach to grade optimization in iron mining. Neural Computing and Applications, 27.7, 2065-2081.

Jime´nez M, Arenas M, Bilbao A, Rodrı´guez Urı´a MV, (2005). Approximate resolution of an imprecise goal programming model with nonlinear membership functions. Fuzzy Sets Syst 150 (1):129–145.

Joaquín Jar, J., (2017). Determinants of country competitiveness in attracting mining investments: An empirical analysis, Resources Policy, 52, 65–71.

King, B., Goycoole, M.  A. Newman, (2017). Optimizing the open pit-to-underground mining transition, European Journal of Operational Research, 257, 297–309.

Lee Peluso, N., (2017) Entangled Territories in Small-Scale Gold Mining Frontiers: Labor Practices, Property, and Secrets in Indonesian Gold Country, World Development, Available online 28 February.

Liang-Hsuan Chen, Wen-Chang Ko, Feng-Ting Yeh, (2017). Approach based on fuzzy goal programming and quality function deployment for new product planning, European Journal of Operational Research, 259, Issue 2, 1, 654–663.

Ouo, Y., (2017). Economic sustainability of the gold mining industry in Burkina Faso, Resources Policy, 51, 194–203.

Ransikarbum, K., and Mason, S.J. (2016) Goal programming-based post-disaster decision making for integrated relief distribution and early-stage network restoration, International Journal of Production Economics, 182, 324–341.

Shabanpour, H., Yousefi, S., and Farzipoor Saen, R. (2017). Future planning for benchmarking and ranking sustainable suppliers using goal programming and robust double frontiers DEA, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 50, 129–143.

Suárez Sánchez, A., Krzemień, A., Riesgo Fernández, P., Iglesias Rodríguez, F.J., Sánchez Lasherasc, F., Javier de Cos Juez, F., (2015). Investment in new tungsten mining projects, Resources Policy, 46, 177–190.

Trivedi, A., and Singh, A., (2017). A hybrid multi-objective decision model for emergency shelter location-relocation projects using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and goal programming approach, International Journal of Project Management, In Press.

Yu, S., Gao, S., Sun, H., (2016). A dynamic programming model for environmental investment decision-making in coal mining, Applied Energy, 166, 15, 273–281.

Rabbabi, M., Heidari S., and Gharebagh, H., (2011). Presenting a Comprehensive Goal Programming Model for Production with Fuzzy Approach in Oil Refinery Industry, Management Journal, 18, 12-21, (In Persian).

Momeni, M., (2009). Novel Affairs in Operations Research, Management Faculty of University of Tehran Pub, (In Persian).

Salehi Sedghiani, J., et al., (2010). Presenting a Linear Goal programming Model for Common Weights Calculation in Data Envelopment Analysis Problems, Industrial Management Journal, 2, 28-32, (In Persian). 

Ataei, M., (2011a). Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Shahrood University of Technology Pub, (In Persian).

Ataei, M., (2011b). Fuzzy Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Shahrood University of Technology Pub, (In Persian).

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