Futures study of sustainable financing in the marine transportation industry with a scenario approach

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Ph.D. student, Department of Accounting, Qom Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qom, Iran,

2 Associate Prof, Department of Management, University of Qom, Qom, Iran

3 Assistant Prof, Department of Accounting, Qom Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qom, Iran

10.22091/jemsc.2024.11086.1186

Abstract

The environmental requirements and the need of many transportation projects in the maritime sector for financing have made it important to examine the future of sustainable financing in the maritime transportation industry.Despite extensive research in the field of future study in the transportation sector,little research has been done on the future of maritime transportation and its financing.The current research seeks to identify the drivers and future scenarios of sustainable financing in the maritime transportation industry with a scenario-based approach.It is applied and a mixed study.The theoretical population of the research is consultants and specialists in sustainable financing and future study in the maritime transportation industry.The sample size was 10 people.Interview and questionnaire were two important data collection tools.25 drivers were extracted through literature review and interviews with experts and screened by distribution of expert questionnaires and fuzzy Delphi method.the screened drivers were ranked by distributing priority questionnaires and the CoCoSo method.Finally the research scenarios were developed based on priority drivers and interview method with focus groups.These scenarios were:plural financing,bank-based financing,technology-based financing and black hole financing.

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